When it came to the 2024 U.S. elections, former President Donald Trump led the field, closely followed by incumbent President Joe Biden and former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley. This information was investigated 24 days ago by Bitcoin.com News using Polymarket’s decentralized prediction market chances. The politics have changed dramatically since then, with Michelle Obama—the spouse of former President Barack Obama—now securing the intriguing third position.
Michelle Obama Has Added to Polymarket’s Projected Results
As more candidates resign, the field for the 2024 election is getting smaller and more competitive. Donald Trump, the former president, is currently favored to win the U.S. election, according to a significant number of traditional betting sites as well as the decentralized prediction market Polymarket. Predictive marketplace Polymarket, which runs on the Polygon blockchain, is unique in that it lets users exchange shares according to probable outcomes of future events.
The 2024 US election and Super Bowl LVIII are now the top two prediction markets on Polymarket. Based on historical data from February 11, 2024, it appears that Trump has a 52% probability of winning, while the current US President, Joe Biden, has a 33% possibility. The outcome of the 2024 US election has already been staked $51 million on the betting market. Remarkably, Michelle Obama has emerged as a candidate, winning the third slot, against the consensus forecasts from last month.
Though the former first lady hasn’t formally declared her candidacy, there is much conjecture that she may beat Biden in the contest. Amidst conversations over Biden’s cognitive capacities, the rumors are widely circulated on social media platforms. However, Karl Rove, In an interview with Fox Business, the former deputy chief of staff for the Bush administration denied the veracity of these claims, saying that “she hates politics.”
In spite of this, Obama is given a 9% probability to win the 2024 election on the betting site Polymarket, placing her behind Biden’s advantage. In addition, independent candidate Robert Kennedy Jr., California Governor Gavin Newsom, and Vice President Kamala Harris are included in the Polygon-based predictions market. The former First Lady is now available on every list, including well-known websites like covers.com and oddschecker.com, according to traditional betting sites and online odds for the 2024 general election.
What is your opinion regarding Michelle Obama’s inclusion in the betting odds? In the space provided for comments below, please share your thoughts on this topic.